“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a decade-long holding period for an investor who was considering Public Storage (NYSE: PSA) back in 2010, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
Start date: | 03/25/2010 |
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End date: | 03/24/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $92.10 | ||||
End price/share: | $168.65 | ||||
Starting shares: | 108.58 | ||||
Ending shares: | 152.11 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $61.00 | ||||
Total return: | 156.54% | ||||
Average annual return: | 9.87% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $25,645.74 |
As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 9.87%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $25,645.74 today (as of 03/24/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 156.54% (something to think about: how might PSA shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Public Storage paid investors a total of $61.00/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 8/share, we calculate that PSA has a current yield of approximately 4.74%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 8 against the original $92.10/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.15%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” — Benjamin Graham