“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Schlumberger Ltd (NYSE: SLB)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2010.
Start date: | 03/23/2010 |
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End date: | 03/20/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $63.03 | ||||
End price/share: | $14.28 | ||||
Starting shares: | 158.65 | ||||
Ending shares: | 204.24 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $16.08 | ||||
Total return: | -70.84% | ||||
Average annual return: | -11.59% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $2,917.52 |
As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -11.59%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $2,917.52 today (as of 03/20/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -70.84% (something to think about: how might SLB shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Schlumberger Ltd paid investors a total of $16.08/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2/share, we calculate that SLB has a current yield of approximately 14.01%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2 against the original $63.03/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 22.23%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Sentimentality about an investments leads to lack of discipline.” — Sam Zell