“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Weyerhaeuser Co (NYSE: WY)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.
Start date: | 02/13/2015 |
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End date: | 02/12/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $35.52 | ||||
End price/share: | $29.75 | ||||
Starting shares: | 281.53 | ||||
Ending shares: | 347.21 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $6.37 | ||||
Total return: | 3.30% | ||||
Average annual return: | 0.65% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $10,329.25 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 0.65%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $10,329.25 today (as of 02/12/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 3.30% (something to think about: how might WY shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Weyerhaeuser Co paid investors a total of $6.37/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.36/share, we calculate that WY has a current yield of approximately 4.57%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.36 against the original $35.52/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 12.87%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“In the end, how your investments behave is much less important than how you behave.” — Benjamin Graham