“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a decade-long holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Assurant Inc (NYSE: AIZ) back in 2010: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full decade-long investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 02/08/2010 |
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| End date: | 02/04/2020 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $30.16 | ||||
| End price/share: | $134.32 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 331.56 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 407.08 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $14.42 | ||||
| Total return: | 446.79% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 18.53% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $54,686.27 | ||||
As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 18.53%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $54,686.27 today (as of 02/04/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 446.79% (something to think about: how might AIZ shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Assurant Inc paid investors a total of $14.42/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.52/share, we calculate that AIZ has a current yield of approximately 1.84%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.52 against the original $30.16/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.10%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“The most important three words in investing is: “I don’t know.†If someone doesn’t say that to you then they are lying.” — James Altucher
