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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into M & T Bank Corp (NYSE: MTB)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2000.

Start date: 01/03/2000
$10,000

01/03/2000
$67,801

12/31/2019
End date: 12/31/2019
Start price/share: $40.66
End price/share: $169.75
Starting shares: 245.94
Ending shares: 399.06
Dividends reinvested/share: $47.92
Total return: 577.41%
Average annual return: 10.04%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $67,801.50

As we can see, the twenty year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 10.04%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $67,801.50 today (as of 12/31/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 577.41% (something to think about: how might MTB shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that M & T Bank Corp paid investors a total of $47.92/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 4.4/share, we calculate that MTB has a current yield of approximately 2.59%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 4.4 against the original $40.66/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.37%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“October is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.” — Mark Twain