“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a twenty year holding period for an investor who was considering Cigna Corp (NYSE: CI) back in 2000, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
Start date: | 01/24/2000 |
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End date: | 01/23/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $23.98 | ||||
End price/share: | $212.70 | ||||
Starting shares: | 417.01 | ||||
Ending shares: | 457.25 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $2.44 | ||||
Total return: | 872.58% | ||||
Average annual return: | 12.04% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $97,275.41 |
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 12.04%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $97,275.41 today (as of 01/23/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 872.58% (something to think about: how might CI shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Cigna Corp paid investors a total of $2.44/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .04/share, we calculate that CI has a current yield of approximately 0.02%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .04 against the original $23.98/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.08%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The greater the passive income you can build, the freer you will become.” — Todd Fleming