“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Invesco Ltd (NYSE: IVZ)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 1999.
| Start date: | 12/16/1999 |
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| End date: | 12/13/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $53.25 | ||||
| End price/share: | $17.62 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 187.79 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 323.41 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $13.24 | ||||
| Total return: | -43.02% | ||||
| Average annual return: | -2.77% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $5,700.84 | ||||
As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -2.77%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $5,700.84 today (as of 12/13/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -43.02% (something to think about: how might IVZ shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Invesco Ltd paid investors a total of $13.24/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.24/share, we calculate that IVZ has a current yield of approximately 7.04%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.24 against the original $53.25/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 13.22%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.” — Yogi Berra
