“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
A critical pearl of wisdom from Warren Buffett teaches us that with any potential stock investment we may make, as soon as our buy order is filled we will have a choice: to remain a co-owner of that company for the long haul, or to react to the inevitable short-term ups and downs that the stock market is famous for (sometimes sharp ups and downs).
The reality of this choice forces us to challenge our confidence in any given company we might invest into, and keep our eyes on the long-term time horizon. The market may go up and down the interim, but over a two-decade holding period, will the investment succeed?
Back in 1999, investors may have been asking themselves that very question about United Rentals Inc (NYSE: URI). Let’s examine what would have happened over a two-decade holding period, had you invested in URI shares back in 1999 and held on.
| Start date: | 12/09/1999 |
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| End date: | 12/06/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $18.19 | ||||
| End price/share: | $157.26 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 549.83 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 549.83 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 764.66% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 11.39% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $86,532.80 | ||||
The above analysis shows the two-decade investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.39%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $86,532.80 today (as of 12/06/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 764.66% (something to think about: how might URI shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“If you’re looking for a home run, a great investment for five years or 10 years or more, then the only way to beat this enormous fog that covers the future is to identify a long-term trend that will give a particular business some sort of edge.” — Ralph Wanger
