“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into WEC Energy Group Inc (NYSE: WEC) back in 2014: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 11/11/2014 |
|
|||
End date: | 11/08/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $49.73 | ||||
End price/share: | $87.83 | ||||
Starting shares: | 201.09 | ||||
Ending shares: | 237.40 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $10.18 | ||||
Total return: | 108.51% | ||||
Average annual return: | 15.85% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $20,851.15 |
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.85%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $20,851.15 today (as of 11/08/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 108.51% (something to think about: how might WEC shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that WEC Energy Group Inc paid investors a total of $10.18/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.36/share, we calculate that WEC has a current yield of approximately 2.69%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.36 against the original $49.73/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.41%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“People who succeed in the stock market also accept periodic losses, setbacks, and unexpected occurrences. Calamitous drops do not scare them out of the game.” — Peter Lynch