“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a decade-long holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Discovery Inc (NASD: DISCA) back in 2009: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full decade-long investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 11/27/2009 |
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End date: | 11/26/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $16.13 | ||||
End price/share: | $33.36 | ||||
Starting shares: | 619.96 | ||||
Ending shares: | 619.96 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 106.82% | ||||
Average annual return: | 7.54% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $20,691.25 |
The above analysis shows the decade-long investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.54%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $20,691.25 today (as of 11/26/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 106.82% (something to think about: how might DISCA shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Value investing is at its core the marriage of a contrarian streak and a calculator.” — Seth Klarman