“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into MetLife Inc (NYSE: MET)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.
| Start date: | 09/23/2014 |
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| End date: | 09/20/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $48.80 | ||||
| End price/share: | $47.44 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 204.92 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 241.86 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $7.46 | ||||
| Total return: | 14.74% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 2.79% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $11,473.31 | ||||
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 2.79%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $11,473.31 today (as of 09/20/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 14.74% (something to think about: how might MET shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that MetLife Inc paid investors a total of $7.46/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.76/share, we calculate that MET has a current yield of approximately 3.71%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.76 against the original $48.80/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.60%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The most important three words in investing is: “I don’t know.†If someone doesn’t say that to you then they are lying.” — James Altucher
