“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Intel Corp (NASD: INTC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 1999.
Start date: | 09/13/1999 |
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End date: | 09/10/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $42.19 | ||||
End price/share: | $51.82 | ||||
Starting shares: | 237.02 | ||||
Ending shares: | 366.34 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $12.07 | ||||
Total return: | 89.84% | ||||
Average annual return: | 3.26% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $18,998.48 |
The above analysis shows the twenty year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.26%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $18,998.48 today (as of 09/10/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 89.84% (something to think about: how might INTC shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Intel Corp paid investors a total of $12.07/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.26/share, we calculate that INTC has a current yield of approximately 2.43%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.26 against the original $42.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.76%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Invest for the long haul. Don’t get too greedy and don’t get too scared.” — Shelby Davis