“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a five year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of ABIOMED, Inc. (NASD: ABMD) back in 2014. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
Start date: | 08/26/2014 |
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End date: | 08/23/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $25.79 | ||||
End price/share: | $189.59 | ||||
Starting shares: | 387.75 | ||||
Ending shares: | 387.75 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 635.13% | ||||
Average annual return: | 49.09% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $73,500.82 |
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 49.09%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $73,500.82 today (as of 08/23/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 635.13% (something to think about: how might ABMD shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks.” — John Bogle