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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Pinnacle West Capital Corp (NYSE: PNW)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 08/21/2014
$10,000

08/21/2014
$20,324

08/20/2019
End date: 08/20/2019
Start price/share: $55.42
End price/share: $94.77
Starting shares: 180.44
Ending shares: 214.46
Dividends reinvested/share: $13.23
Total return: 103.24%
Average annual return: 15.24%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $20,324.33

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.24%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $20,324.33 today (as of 08/20/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 103.24% (something to think about: how might PNW shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Pinnacle West Capital Corp paid investors a total of $13.23/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.95/share, we calculate that PNW has a current yield of approximately 3.11%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.95 against the original $55.42/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.61%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.” — William Feather