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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Regions Financial Corp (NYSE: RF)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 1999.
Start date: | 08/20/1999 |
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End date: | 08/19/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $29.79 | ||||
End price/share: | $14.26 | ||||
Starting shares: | 335.68 | ||||
Ending shares: | 620.73 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $13.08 | ||||
Total return: | -11.48% | ||||
Average annual return: | -0.61% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $8,847.58 |
As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -0.61%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $8,847.58 today (as of 08/19/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -11.48% (something to think about: how might RF shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Regions Financial Corp paid investors a total of $13.08/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .62/share, we calculate that RF has a current yield of approximately 4.35%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .62 against the original $29.79/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 14.60%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts? I rest my case.” — Robert Allen