“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into State Street Corp. (NYSE: STT)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.
| Start date: | 07/18/2014 |
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| End date: | 07/17/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $69.90 | ||||
| End price/share: | $54.59 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 143.06 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 158.75 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $7.68 | ||||
| Total return: | -13.34% | ||||
| Average annual return: | -2.82% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $8,667.31 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -2.82%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $8,667.31 today (as of 07/17/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -13.34% (something to think about: how might STT shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that State Street Corp. paid investors a total of $7.68/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.88/share, we calculate that STT has a current yield of approximately 3.44%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.88 against the original $69.90/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.92%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“If you can follow only one bit of data, follow the earnings.” — Peter Lynch
