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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into DXC Technology Co (NYSE: DXC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 1999.

Start date: 06/14/1999
$10,000

06/14/1999
$25,015

06/11/2019
End date: 06/11/2019
Start price/share: $31.24
End price/share: $50.73
Starting shares: 320.10
Ending shares: 493.15
Dividends reinvested/share: $13.63
Total return: 150.18%
Average annual return: 4.69%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $25,015.72

The above analysis shows the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.69%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $25,015.72 today (as of 06/11/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 150.18% (something to think about: how might DXC shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that DXC Technology Co paid investors a total of $13.63/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .84/share, we calculate that DXC has a current yield of approximately 1.66%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .84 against the original $31.24/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.31%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“We ignore outlooks and forecasts… we’re lousy at it and we admit it … everyone else is lousy too, but most people won’t admit it.” — Martin Whitman