“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
This inspiring quote from Warren Buffett teaches us the importance of considering our investment time horizon when approaching any given investment: Could we envision ourselves holding the stock we are considering for many years? Even a twenty year holding period potentially?
For “buy-and-hold” investors taking a long-term view, what’s important isn’t the short-term stock market fluctuations that will inevitably occur, but what happens over the long haul. Looking back 20 years to 1999, investors considering an investment into shares of O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASD: ORLY) may have been pondering this very question and thinking about their potential investment result over a full twenty year time horizon. Here’s how that would have worked out.
| Start date: | 06/10/1999 |
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| End date: | 06/07/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $11.19 | ||||
| End price/share: | $382.26 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 893.66 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 893.66 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 3,316.09% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 19.30% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $341,372.73 | ||||
As we can see, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 19.30%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $341,372.73 today (as of 06/07/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 3,316.09% (something to think about: how might ORLY shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Another great investment quote to think about:
“Investors should always keep in mind that the most important metric is not the returns achieved but the returns weighed against the risks incurred. Ultimately, nothing should be more important to investors than the ability to sleep soundly at night.” — Seth Klarman
