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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?

A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a decade-long holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Kimco Realty Corp (NYSE: KIM) back in 2009. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:

Start date: 06/01/2009
$10,000

06/01/2009
$21,866

05/29/2019
End date: 05/29/2019
Start price/share: $12.38
End price/share: $17.30
Starting shares: 807.75
Ending shares: 1,264.51
Dividends reinvested/share: $8.72
Total return: 118.76%
Average annual return: 8.14%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $21,866.06

As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 8.14%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $21,866.06 today (as of 05/29/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 118.76% (something to think about: how might KIM shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Kimco Realty Corp paid investors a total of $8.72/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.12/share, we calculate that KIM has a current yield of approximately 6.47%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.12 against the original $12.38/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 52.26%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Nearly every time I strayed from the herd, I’ve made a lot of money. Wandering away from the action is the way to find the new action.” — Jim Rogers