“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a decade-long holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Kimco Realty Corp (NYSE: KIM) back in 2009. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
Start date: | 06/01/2009 |
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End date: | 05/29/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $12.38 | ||||
End price/share: | $17.30 | ||||
Starting shares: | 807.75 | ||||
Ending shares: | 1,264.51 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $8.72 | ||||
Total return: | 118.76% | ||||
Average annual return: | 8.14% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $21,866.06 |
As we can see, the decade-long investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 8.14%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $21,866.06 today (as of 05/29/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 118.76% (something to think about: how might KIM shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Kimco Realty Corp paid investors a total of $8.72/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.12/share, we calculate that KIM has a current yield of approximately 6.47%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.12 against the original $12.38/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 52.26%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Nearly every time I strayed from the herd, I’ve made a lot of money. Wandering away from the action is the way to find the new action.” — Jim Rogers