“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Invesco Ltd (NYSE: IVZ)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 1999.
Start date: | 05/21/1999 |
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End date: | 05/20/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $48.62 | ||||
End price/share: | $20.65 | ||||
Starting shares: | 205.66 | ||||
Ending shares: | 343.70 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $12.93 | ||||
Total return: | -29.03% | ||||
Average annual return: | -1.70% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $7,095.59 |
As we can see, the twenty year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -1.70%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $7,095.59 today (as of 05/20/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -29.03% (something to think about: how might IVZ shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Invesco Ltd paid investors a total of $12.93/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.24/share, we calculate that IVZ has a current yield of approximately 6.00%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.24 against the original $48.62/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 12.34%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” — Benjamin Franklin