“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The above quote from Warren Buffett is timeless, and brings into focus the choice about time horizon that any investor should think about before buying a stock they are considering. Behind every stock is an actual business; what will that business look like over a five year period?
Today, let’s look backwards in time to 2014, and take a look at what happened to investors who asked that very question about Micron Technology Inc. (NASD: MU), by taking a look at the investment outcome over a five year holding period.
| Start date: | 05/19/2014 |
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| End date: | 05/16/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $26.94 | ||||
| End price/share: | $37.31 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 371.20 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 371.20 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 38.49% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 6.74% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $13,850.99 | ||||
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 6.74%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $13,850.99 today (as of 05/16/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 38.49% (something to think about: how might MU shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Our job is to find a few intelligent things to do, not to keep up with every damn thing in the world.” — Charlie Munger
