“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a ten year holding period for an investor who was considering SL Green Realty Corp (NYSE: SLG) back in 2009, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
Start date: | 05/22/2009 |
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End date: | 05/21/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $21.19 | ||||
End price/share: | $87.23 | ||||
Starting shares: | 471.92 | ||||
Ending shares: | 575.78 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $18.65 | ||||
Total return: | 402.25% | ||||
Average annual return: | 17.51% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $50,227.35 |
As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.51%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $50,227.35 today (as of 05/21/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 402.25% (something to think about: how might SLG shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that SL Green Realty Corp paid investors a total of $18.65/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.4/share, we calculate that SLG has a current yield of approximately 3.90%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.4 against the original $21.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 18.40%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” — John Maynard Keynes