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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into MSCI Inc (NYSE: MSCI)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 04/25/2014
$10,000

04/25/2014
$57,087

04/24/2019
End date: 04/24/2019
Start price/share: $41.69
End price/share: $224.77
Starting shares: 239.87
Ending shares: 254.00
Dividends reinvested/share: $5.80
Total return: 470.92%
Average annual return: 41.68%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $57,087.73

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 41.68%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $57,087.73 today (as of 04/24/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 470.92% (something to think about: how might MSCI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that MSCI Inc paid investors a total of $5.80/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.32/share, we calculate that MSCI has a current yield of approximately 1.03%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.32 against the original $41.69/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.47%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing.” — Warren Buffett