“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Mattel Inc (NASD: MAT)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2009.
Start date: | 04/16/2009 |
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End date: | 04/15/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $13.03 | ||||
End price/share: | $13.19 | ||||
Starting shares: | 767.46 | ||||
Ending shares: | 1,109.08 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $10.65 | ||||
Total return: | 46.29% | ||||
Average annual return: | 3.88% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $14,634.06 |
As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.88%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $14,634.06 today (as of 04/15/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 46.29% (something to think about: how might MAT shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Mattel Inc paid investors a total of $10.65/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .6/share, we calculate that MAT has a current yield of approximately 0.00%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .6 against the original $13.03/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.00%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“The best way to measure your investing success is not by whether you’re beating the market but by whether you’ve put in place a financial plan and a behavioral discipline that are likely to get you where you want to go.” — Benjamin Graham