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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into TechnipFMC plc (NYSE: FTI)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 04/24/2014
$10,000

04/24/2014
$4,579

04/23/2019
End date: 04/23/2019
Start price/share: $57.17
End price/share: $25.44
Starting shares: 174.92
Ending shares: 180.00
Dividends reinvested/share: $0.78
Total return: -54.21%
Average annual return: -14.46%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $4,579.80

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -14.46%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $4,579.80 today (as of 04/23/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -54.21% (something to think about: how might FTI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that TechnipFMC plc paid investors a total of $0.78/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .52/share, we calculate that FTI has a current yield of approximately 2.04%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .52 against the original $57.17/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.57%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“It’s not how much money you make, but how much money you keep.” — Robert Kiyosaki