Warren Buffett

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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

Steel Dynamics Inc. (NASD: STLD) delivered an exceptional five-year total return for shareholders who bought in October 2021 and held through October 2026. Including reinvested dividends, a $10,000 investment grew to $42,626.76, highlighting how long-term equity returns are driven not only by price appreciation, but also by compounding from dividend reinvestment.

The exercise is straightforward: what happened to an investor who purchased STLD shares five years ago and simply held the position? The result provides a useful case study in long-term ownership, total return analysis, and the contribution that dividends can make even when the starting yield is modest.

STLD 5-Year Return Details

Start date: 10/08/2021
$10,000

10/08/2021
  $42,626

10/07/2026
End date: 10/07/2026
Start price/share: $59.09
End price/share: $234.09
Starting shares: 169.23
Ending shares: 182.09
Dividends reinvested/share: $8.75
Total return: 326.25%
Average annual return: 33.64%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $42,626.76

Over the full period, STLD produced a 326.25% total return, equivalent to a 33.64% annualized return. In practical terms, every $10,000 invested at the start of the period would have grown to $42,626.76 by 10/07/2026, assuming dividends were reinvested. These figures were computed using the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.

What Drove STLD’s 5-Year Return?

The bulk of the gain came from share price appreciation. STLD rose from $59.09 to $234.09 during the measurement period, a substantial increase in the market value of the business. Dividends added a second layer of return, contributing cash that, when reinvested, increased the shareholder’s share count from 169.23 to 182.09 shares.

This distinction matters. Price return measures only the change in the stock price, while total return captures both capital appreciation and income. For companies that pay regular dividends, total return is generally the more complete measure of shareholder experience over time.

Dividend Reinvestment and Compounding

Steel Dynamics paid $8.75 per share in cumulative dividends over the five-year period used in this analysis. Because the calculation assumes automatic dividend reinvestment, those cash distributions purchased incremental shares along the way. That raised the ending share count and allowed future dividends to be earned on a larger base.

Dividend reinvestment tends to have the greatest visible impact over longer holding periods. Even when a stock’s starting yield is not especially high, disciplined reinvestment can still make a meaningful contribution to compounded returns.

Current Yield and Yield on Cost

Based on the most recent annualized dividend rate of $2.12 per share, STLD has a current yield of approximately 0.91% using the ending share price of $234.09. Another useful reference point is yield on cost, which compares the current annualized dividend with the original purchase price.

Using the original entry price of $59.09 per share, STLD’s current annualized dividend of $2.12 implies a yield on cost of about 3.59%.

Key Takeaways

  • STLD turned a $10,000 investment into $42,626.76 over five years.
  • Total return was 326.25%, with an annualized return of 33.64%.
  • Share price appreciation was the primary driver of performance.
  • Reinvested dividends increased the share count from 169.23 to 182.09.
  • The current annualized dividend of $2.12 equates to an approximate current yield of 0.91% and a yield on cost of 3.59% based on the 2021 purchase price.

Results of this magnitude underscore the importance of evaluating a stock over a full cycle rather than through the lens of short-term volatility. For STLD, the five-year holding period rewarded patience, with both capital gains and reinvested dividends contributing to the final outcome.

“Confronted with a challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, Margin of Safety.” — Benjamin Graham