“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
This inspiring quote from Warren Buffett teaches us the importance of considering our investment time horizon when approaching any given investment: Could we envision ourselves holding the stock we are considering for many years? Even a five year holding period potentially?
For “buy-and-hold” investors taking a long-term view, what’s important isn’t the short-term stock market fluctuations that will inevitably occur, but what happens over the long haul. Looking back 5 years to 2019, investors considering an investment into shares of Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold (NYSE: FCX) may have been pondering this very question and thinking about their potential investment result over a full five year time horizon. Here’s how that would have worked out.
| Start date: | 09/13/2019 |
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| End date: | 09/12/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $10.76 | ||||
| End price/share: | $41.81 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 929.37 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 983.76 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $1.97 | ||||
| Total return: | 311.31% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 32.67% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $41,133.91 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 32.67%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $41,133.91 today (as of 09/12/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 311.31% (something to think about: how might FCX shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold paid investors a total of $1.97/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .3/share, we calculate that FCX has a current yield of approximately 0.72%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .3 against the original $10.76/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.69%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing.” — Phillip Fisher
