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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NYSE: NCLH)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 10/30/2014
$10,000

10/30/2014
  $6,268

10/29/2024
End date: 10/29/2024
Start price/share: $38.44
End price/share: $24.11
Starting shares: 260.15
Ending shares: 260.15
Dividends reinvested/share: $0.00
Total return: -37.28%
Average annual return: -4.56%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $6,268.93

As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -4.56%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $6,268.93 today (as of 10/29/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -37.28% (something to think about: how might NCLH shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks.” — John Bogle