“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Waters Corp. (NYSE: WAT) back in 2017: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 08/07/2017 |
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| End date: | 08/04/2022 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $177.95 | ||||
| End price/share: | $334.56 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 56.20 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 56.20 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 88.01% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 13.47% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $18,797.69 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 13.47%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $18,797.69 today (as of 08/04/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 88.01% (something to think about: how might WAT shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Another great investment quote to think about:
“The function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” — John Galbraith
