“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The above quote from Warren Buffett is timeless, and brings into focus the choice about time horizon that any investor should think about before buying a stock they are considering. Behind every stock is an actual business; what will that business look like over a five year period?
Today, let’s look backwards in time to 2016, and take a look at what happened to investors who asked that very question about Penn National Gaming Inc (NASD: PENN), by taking a look at the investment outcome over a five year holding period.
| Start date: | 10/14/2016 |
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| End date: | 10/13/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $13.54 | ||||
| End price/share: | $74.69 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 738.55 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 738.55 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 451.62% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 40.71% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $55,160.07 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 40.71%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $55,160.07 today (as of 10/13/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 451.62% (something to think about: how might PENN shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“The most important three words in investing is: “I don’t know.†If someone doesn’t say that to you then they are lying.” — James Altucher
