“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The above quote from Warren Buffett is timeless, and brings into focus the choice about time horizon that any investor should think about before buying a stock they are considering. Behind every stock is an actual business; what will that business look like over a ten year period?
Today, let’s look backwards in time to 2011, and take a look at what happened to investors who asked that very question about United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASD: UAL), by taking a look at the investment outcome over a ten year holding period.
| Start date: | 09/06/2011 |
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| End date: | 09/02/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $17.64 | ||||
| End price/share: | $46.76 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 566.89 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 566.89 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 165.08% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 10.24% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $26,501.84 | ||||
As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 10.24%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $26,501.84 today (as of 09/02/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 165.08% (something to think about: how might UAL shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves.” — Peter Lynch
