“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc (NASD: XRAY)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.
Start date: | 07/15/2015 |
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End date: | 07/14/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $52.34 | ||||
End price/share: | $42.65 | ||||
Starting shares: | 191.06 | ||||
Ending shares: | 197.58 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $1.74 | ||||
Total return: | -15.73% | ||||
Average annual return: | -3.36% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $8,428.38 |
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -3.36%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $8,428.38 today (as of 07/14/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -15.73% (something to think about: how might XRAY shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc paid investors a total of $1.74/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .4/share, we calculate that XRAY has a current yield of approximately 0.94%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .4 against the original $52.34/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.80%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Ensure management’s interests are aligned with shareholders.” — Sam Zell