“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a twenty year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Henry Schein Inc (NASD: HSIC) back in 1999: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full twenty year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 20 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 09/13/1999 |
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End date: | 09/12/2019 | ||||
Start price/share: | $3.22 | ||||
End price/share: | $65.03 | ||||
Starting shares: | 3,105.59 | ||||
Ending shares: | 3,105.59 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 1,919.57% | ||||
Average annual return: | 16.21% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $202,108.71 |
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 16.21%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $202,108.71 today (as of 09/12/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,919.57% (something to think about: how might HSIC shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“If you can follow only one bit of data, follow the earnings.” — Peter Lynch