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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Hasbro, Inc. (NASD: HAS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2019.

Start date: 11/06/2019
$10,000

11/06/2019
  $8,467

11/05/2024
End date: 11/05/2024
Start price/share: $94.86
End price/share: $66.96
Starting shares: 105.42
Ending shares: 126.44
Dividends reinvested/share: $13.12
Total return: -15.34%
Average annual return: -3.27%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $8,467.72

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -3.27%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $8,467.72 today (as of 11/05/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -15.34% (something to think about: how might HAS shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Hasbro, Inc. paid investors a total of $13.12/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.8/share, we calculate that HAS has a current yield of approximately 4.18%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.8 against the original $94.86/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.41%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“A lot of people with high IQs are terrible investors because they’ve got terrible temperaments. You need to keep raw, irrational emotion under control.” — Charlie Munger