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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Sysco Corp (NYSE: SYY)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2004.

Start date: 09/30/2004
$10,000

09/30/2004
  $45,434

09/27/2024
End date: 09/27/2024
Start price/share: $29.92
End price/share: $77.66
Starting shares: 334.22
Ending shares: 584.59
Dividends reinvested/share: $25.09
Total return: 353.99%
Average annual return: 7.86%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $45,434.77

As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.86%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $45,434.77 today (as of 09/27/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 353.99% (something to think about: how might SYY shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Sysco Corp paid investors a total of $25.09/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.04/share, we calculate that SYY has a current yield of approximately 2.63%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.04 against the original $29.92/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 8.79%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Never test the depth of a river with both feet.” — Warren Buffett