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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Comcast Corp (NASD: CMCSA)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2004.

Start date: 07/23/2004
$10,000

07/23/2004
  $58,621

07/22/2024
End date: 07/22/2024
Start price/share: $9.33
End price/share: $39.53
Starting shares: 1,071.81
Ending shares: 1,482.42
Dividends reinvested/share: $9.86
Total return: 486.00%
Average annual return: 9.24%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $58,621.17

As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 9.24%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $58,621.17 today (as of 07/22/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 486.00% (something to think about: how might CMCSA shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Comcast Corp paid investors a total of $9.86/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.24/share, we calculate that CMCSA has a current yield of approximately 3.14%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.24 against the original $9.33/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 33.65%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“This company looks cheap, that company looks cheap, but the overall economy could completely screw it up. The key is to wait. Sometimes the hardest thing to do is to do nothing.” — David Tepper