“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Franklin Resources Inc (NYSE: BEN)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2014.
Start date: | 04/29/2014 |
|
|||
End date: | 04/26/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $51.57 | ||||
End price/share: | $24.99 | ||||
Starting shares: | 193.91 | ||||
Ending shares: | 292.33 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $13.00 | ||||
Total return: | -26.95% | ||||
Average annual return: | -3.09% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $7,306.11 |
As shown above, the decade-long investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -3.09%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $7,306.11 today (as of 04/26/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -26.95% (something to think about: how might BEN shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Franklin Resources Inc paid investors a total of $13.00/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.24/share, we calculate that BEN has a current yield of approximately 4.96%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.24 against the original $51.57/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 9.62%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The whole secret to winning big in the stock market is not to be right all the time, but to lose the least amount possible when you’re wrong.” — William O’Neil