“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a twenty year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE: AZO) back in 2004: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full twenty year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 20 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
Start date: | 03/11/2004 |
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End date: | 03/08/2024 | ||||
Start price/share: | $82.75 | ||||
End price/share: | $3,079.49 | ||||
Starting shares: | 120.85 | ||||
Ending shares: | 120.85 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
Total return: | 3,621.44% | ||||
Average annual return: | 19.82% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $372,405.94 |
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 19.82%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $372,405.94 today (as of 03/08/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 3,621.44% (something to think about: how might AZO shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Another great investment quote to think about:
“The emotional burden of trading is substantial; on any given day, I could lose millions of dollars. If you personalize these losses, you can’t trade.” — Bruce Kovner