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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE: VZ)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.

Start date: 06/18/2018
$10,000

06/18/2018
  $9,733

06/15/2023
End date: 06/15/2023
Start price/share: $47.46
End price/share: $36.44
Starting shares: 210.70
Ending shares: 267.11
Dividends reinvested/share: $12.49
Total return: -2.66%
Average annual return: -0.54%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $9,733.19

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -0.54%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $9,733.19 today (as of 06/15/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -2.66% (something to think about: how might VZ shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Verizon Communications Inc paid investors a total of $12.49/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.61/share, we calculate that VZ has a current yield of approximately 7.16%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.61 against the original $47.46/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 15.09%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Finding the best person or the best organization to invest your money is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll ever make.” — Bill Gross