Photo credit: commons.wikimedia.org

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Exelon Corp (NASD: EXC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2011.

Start date: 02/09/2011
$10,000

02/09/2011
$15,238

02/08/2021
End date: 02/08/2021
Start price/share: $43.08
End price/share: $43.74
Starting shares: 232.13
Ending shares: 348.35
Dividends reinvested/share: $15.07
Total return: 52.37%
Average annual return: 4.30%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $15,238.54

As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.30%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $15,238.54 today (as of 02/08/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 52.37% (something to think about: how might EXC shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Exelon Corp paid investors a total of $15.07/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.53/share, we calculate that EXC has a current yield of approximately 3.50%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.53 against the original $43.08/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 8.12%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“All you need for a lifetime of successful investing is a few big winners, and the pluses from those will overwhelm the minuses from the stocks that don’t work out.” — Peter Lynch