“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into TechnipFMC plc (NYSE: FTI)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.
| Start date: | 01/16/2015 |
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| End date: | 01/15/2020 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $40.12 | ||||
| End price/share: | $20.18 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 249.25 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 261.05 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $1.17 | ||||
| Total return: | -47.32% | ||||
| Average annual return: | -12.03% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $5,268.33 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -12.03%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $5,268.33 today (as of 01/15/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -47.32% (something to think about: how might FTI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that TechnipFMC plc paid investors a total of $1.17/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .52/share, we calculate that FTI has a current yield of approximately 2.58%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .52 against the original $40.12/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.43%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“If you’re prepared to invest in a company, then you ought to be able to explain why in simple language that a fifth grader could understand, and quickly enough so the fifth grader won’t get bored.” — Peter Lynch
