“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering DTE Energy Co (NYSE: DTE) back in 2014, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 10/30/2014 |
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| End date: | 10/29/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $81.99 | ||||
| End price/share: | $126.59 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 121.97 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 143.66 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $16.37 | ||||
| Total return: | 81.86% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 12.71% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $18,189.14 | ||||
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 12.71%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $18,189.14 today (as of 10/29/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 81.86% (something to think about: how might DTE shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that DTE Energy Co paid investors a total of $16.37/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.78/share, we calculate that DTE has a current yield of approximately 2.99%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.78 against the original $81.99/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.65%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn’t be in stocks.” — John Bogle
