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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2019.

Start date: 08/19/2019
$10,000

08/19/2019
  $6,693

08/16/2024
End date: 08/16/2024
Start price/share: $135.29
End price/share: $89.30
Starting shares: 73.92
Ending shares: 74.94
Dividends reinvested/share: $1.63
Total return: -33.07%
Average annual return: -7.72%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $6,693.20

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -7.72%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $6,693.20 today (as of 08/16/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -33.07% (something to think about: how might DIS shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Walt Disney Co. paid investors a total of $1.63/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .90/share, we calculate that DIS has a current yield of approximately 1.01%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .90 against the original $135.29/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.75%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“He who earns and does not invest will have to work for the rest of his life.” — Debasish Mridha