“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into PACCAR Inc. (NASD: PCAR)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2019.
| Start date: | 07/11/2019 |
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| End date: | 07/10/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $47.19 | ||||
| End price/share: | $101.50 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 211.91 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 255.71 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $12.78 | ||||
| Total return: | 159.54% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 21.00% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $25,950.97 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 21.00%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $25,950.97 today (as of 07/10/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 159.54% (something to think about: how might PCAR shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that PACCAR Inc. paid investors a total of $12.78/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.2/share, we calculate that PCAR has a current yield of approximately 1.18%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.2 against the original $47.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.50%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Smart investing doesn’t consist of buying good assets but of buying assets well. This is a very, very important distinction that very, very few people understand.” — Howard Marks
