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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Invesco Ltd (NYSE: IVZ)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2019.

Start date: 05/17/2019
$10,000

05/17/2019
  $10,000

05/16/2024
End date: 05/16/2024
Start price/share: $20.44
End price/share: $16.09
Starting shares: 489.24
Ending shares: 621.60
Dividends reinvested/share: $3.99
Total return: 0.02%
Average annual return: 0.00%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $10,000.00

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of 0.00%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $10,000.00 today (as of 05/16/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 0.02% (something to think about: how might IVZ shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Invesco Ltd paid investors a total of $3.99/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .82/share, we calculate that IVZ has a current yield of approximately 5.09%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .82 against the original $20.44/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 24.90%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“You don’t need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with 130 IQ.” — Warren Buffett