“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Altria Group Inc (NYSE: MO)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2019.
| Start date: | 05/07/2019 |
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| End date: | 05/06/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $52.94 | ||||
| End price/share: | $43.49 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 188.89 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 282.18 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $17.90 | ||||
| Total return: | 22.72% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 4.18% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $12,273.56 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.18%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $12,273.56 today (as of 05/06/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 22.72% (something to think about: how might MO shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Altria Group Inc paid investors a total of $17.90/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.92/share, we calculate that MO has a current yield of approximately 9.01%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.92 against the original $52.94/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 17.02%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Go for a business that any idiot can run – because sooner or later, any idiot probably is going to run it.” — Peter Lynch
