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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Expedia Group Inc (NASD: EXPE)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 04/29/2014
$10,000

04/29/2014
  $20,362

04/26/2024
End date: 04/26/2024
Start price/share: $70.59
End price/share: $135.70
Starting shares: 141.66
Ending shares: 150.01
Dividends reinvested/share: $6.41
Total return: 103.57%
Average annual return: 7.37%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $20,362.43

As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.37%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $20,362.43 today (as of 04/26/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 103.57% (something to think about: how might EXPE shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Expedia Group Inc paid investors a total of $6.41/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.36/share, we calculate that EXPE has a current yield of approximately 1.00%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.36 against the original $70.59/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.42%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“The four most dangerous words in investing are: ‘this time it’s different.'” — Sir John Templeton