“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a twenty year holding period for an investor who was considering Chubb Ltd (NYSE: CB) back in 2004, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 03/25/2004 |
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| End date: | 03/22/2024 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $21.13 | ||||
| End price/share: | $255.51 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 473.26 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 726.49 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $42.45 | ||||
| Total return: | 1,756.26% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 15.72% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $185,499.28 | ||||
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.72%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $185,499.28 today (as of 03/22/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,756.26% (something to think about: how might CB shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Chubb Ltd paid investors a total of $42.45/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.44/share, we calculate that CB has a current yield of approximately 1.35%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.44 against the original $21.13/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 6.39%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Cash is a fact, profit is an opinion.” — Alfred Rappaport
