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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Darden Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: DRI) back in 2019, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 03/21/2019
$10,000

03/21/2019
  $17,176

03/20/2024
End date: 03/20/2024
Start price/share: $116.11
End price/share: $174.58
Starting shares: 86.13
Ending shares: 98.39
Dividends reinvested/share: $18.11
Total return: 71.76%
Average annual return: 11.42%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $17,176.89

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.42%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $17,176.89 today (as of 03/20/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 71.76% (something to think about: how might DRI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Darden Restaurants, Inc. paid investors a total of $18.11/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 5.24/share, we calculate that DRI has a current yield of approximately 3.00%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 5.24 against the original $116.11/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.58%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Anyone who is not investing now is missing a tremendous opportunity.” — Carlos Slim