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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE: LVS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2014.

Start date: 01/22/2014
$10,000

01/22/2014
  $8,254

01/19/2024
End date: 01/19/2024
Start price/share: $80.47
End price/share: $48.85
Starting shares: 124.27
Ending shares: 168.92
Dividends reinvested/share: $17.67
Total return: -17.48%
Average annual return: -1.90%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $8,254.92

The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -1.90%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $8,254.92 today (as of 01/19/2024). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -17.48% (something to think about: how might LVS shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Las Vegas Sands Corp paid investors a total of $17.67/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .8/share, we calculate that LVS has a current yield of approximately 1.64%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .8 against the original $80.47/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.04%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“If you are not willing to own a stock for 10 years, do not even think about owning it for 10 minutes.” — Warren Buffett